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Release 24.07 - Alternative Investments

enhancement

Switching between forecast models

This functionality allows investors in illiquid alternative assets to flexibly use different sets of assumptions for forecast models.

So far users of the Alternatives Strategy Analysis could only work with one set of parameterizations for the forecast models (deterministic Takahashi-Alexander Model and the stochastic model). If parameters needed to be changed, for example to test other assumptions or because of a changed market environment, users could only overwrite the parameters.

For many investors working with different forecast models is an important use case, that allows having an organization-wide approved standard model while giving individual analysts the ability to work with their specific assumptions or to assess the impact variations of parameters (for example related to contribution rates, bow factor, or yield) on the forecasts. 

Benefits 

  • Ability to override forecast models for all or a subset of investments without losing the original parameter settings
  • Ability to switch between different sets of forecast models for deterministic and stochastic forecasts
  • Additional flexibility when analyzing different investment strategies
  • Ability to compare the results of different sets of assumptions 
  • Prepare for a future back-testing functionality

 

Images

Users can change their assumptions and assign various versions of these assumptions to a forecast model:

ASTRA_Forecast_Model_Assignment

In this example assumptions for the return of infra core and real estate value added funds are changed. The standard assumptions give a composition of distributions of the NAV by end of 2024:

ASTRA_Standard_Assumptions_Impact

Changing the return expectations lead to a significant change in the distribution of NAV by end of 2024 which easily can be evaluated by running the analysis with the new assumptions.

ASTRA_New_Assumptions_Impact

Subscription based licensing

Alternatives Strategy Analysis

Sales module dependency

Alternative Investments Manager
Cash-flow Forecasting for Illiquid Alternative Investment Funds

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