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Alternative Investments

Release 25.01

enhancement

Integrating short-term forecasts

ASTRA produces forecasts that enable users to explore the ranges of their portfolio’s development and outcomes. These are model-based forecasts and, therefore, come with uncertainty. However, short-term cashflows already entered into SCD can be considered as fact or at least highly reliable. 

ASTRA combines model-generated fund-level cashflow forecasts with these entered and nearly certain cashflows to improve short-term forecasting. Cashflows forecasted by the model (using Takahashi-Alexander and stochastic methods) and the NAV for the affected periods are adjusted accordingly. Users can configure whether these short-term cashflows are included in the forecasts or not, and can identify them in the results.

Benefits 

  • More reliable and, in the near term, more precise forecasting
  • Enhances treasury management capabilities

 

Without reflecting the short-term cashflows, ASTRA generates this histogram for the Capital-Call-at-Risk analysis:

ASTRA Without Short-term Forecast

The impact of incorporating short-term cashflows can be seen in this histogram for the Capital-Call-at-Risk analysis and the same portfolio of funds:

Subscription based licensing

Alternatives Strategy Analysis

Sales module dependency

Alternative Investments Manager

Cash-flow Forecasting for Illiquid Alternative Investment Funds

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